A curious reply has become more common lately, it seems, in congressional hearings broadcast to the public. A question is posed by a committee member, and a witness replies, that is a hypothetical and I can’t answer that, or that is a hypothetical, and it is not worth discussing because it will never happen. What is a hypothetical and are such replies defensible?
A hypothetical is a conditional statement in which we connect a condition to a result: if it is sunny tomorrow, I will go to the beach. Every hypothetical contains an if-clause (called the antecedent), which names the assumption on which something else depends, together with a then-clause (called the consequent), which states the result or outcome arising from that condition. The conjunction then is often, as in our example, unstated for stylistic reasons. The two clauses may appear in reverse order for rhetorical purposes (I will go to the beach tomorrow if it is sunny), but whether the condition appears first or last, a hypothetical gives us a way to step off the familiar empirical stage of determined facts and enter a theoretical world where we can think and plan freely, without the commitments and inevitabilities that are part of the hard and fast world of events and their consequences.
We would have little reasoning and even less science without hypothetical thinking, and so to reply that one will not answer a hypothetical because it is a hypothetical, implying thereby that such a statement is no more than devious suggestion, is mistaken in every way. It is logically possible to attribute that motive to the questioner, but it has nothing to do with posing a hypothetical as such. Anytime we plan something, we are involved in hypothetical reasoning, though we may not realize that because we often do not explicitly state the condition (we might say, for example, I could go tomorrow and leave it at that, without adding the condition if it doesn’t rain). And the second reply, that a given hypothetical is unworthy of a response because the condition set down will never happen, is again indefensible on logical grounds, but that response requires a closer look at the structure of the hypothetical sentence to understand why.
To make an assertion, whether affirmative or negative, we put down a subject and join it to a predicate. If I say that it is sunny or I will go to the beach, you are in a position to agree or disagree with the truth of either of those statements which I am declaring as fact, either present or in all likelihood to be present. That is what I, as speaker, believe to be true, and what you, as interlocutor, are in a position to agree or disagree with; we both believe in truth, and we both believe in the possibility of language to symbolize it. Such statements are called categorical propositions, and they are the means by which we define our experience and build up a rational understanding of it. Note that these statements do not include the if and then because they are being asserted independently as facts in their own right.
When, however, we place a categorical proposition within the if-then frame of a hypothetical (properly called a hypothetical, or conditional, proposition), we are not, strangely enough, asserting the independent truth of either the antecedent or the consequent. We are only asserting a connection between two assertions, each of which we are considering not as factual, but as theoretical. If it is sunny tomorrow does not mean that it will in fact be sunny tomorrow, and to say that I will go to the beach does not mean that in fact you will see me sitting under an umbrella on the sand. The only assertion that a hypothetical proposition like this makes is the almost mechanically inevitable association between a certain condition and a certain result—not the existing truth of either. We can speak of the truth or falsity of a hypothetical, but what is true or false is the connection between the two assertions—when this happens, that will happen—not the assertions taken each by itself.
So to reply that the condition of a certain hypothetical will never happen is to miss the entire point of what a hypothetical statement is meant to make possible: to think things out imaginatively, that is, in our minds, where it is much easier to change circumstances than in the brick-and-mortar world. But we can be patient with hypotheticals only on two presumptions: that no one of us has the entire truth about anything at all, and that all of us want first and above all the truth. Evasion is not truth-seeking, and that is all we’re doing when we refuse to climb into the imagination and see what will or could result when or should something else happen. Everything is possible in the imaginative, theoretical world, but we shouldn’t want everything that could possibly happen, to happen. Thus the importance of the hypothetical.
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